Netflix projects Q4 2025 revenue of $11.96 billion (up 16.7% YoY) in their October 2025 earnings guidance. This market resolves YES if Netflix reports Q4 2025 revenue at or above $11.96 billion when they release Q4 earnings in late January 2026.

Resolution Criteria: Netflix's official Q4 2025 revenue figure from their earnings report filed with the SEC (https://ir.netflix.net/financials/quarterly-earnings/default.aspx)

Context: Netflix has consistently met or slightly missed revenue guidance. Q3 2025 revenue came in at $11.51B, in line with expectations. The company is on track to deliver 16% full-year revenue growth.