Will a new cruciferous vegetable be patented by 2030?
6
130Ṁ1692030
79%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For example, purple broccolini was patented in 2017.
https://patents.google.com/patent/US20170071147A1/en
Resolves YES if there exists a patent for an plant with a filing date of 2029-12-31 or earlier, that is published after market open, whose cultivar is listed on the Wikipedia page.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cruciferous_vegetables
If the patent is invalidated, due to prior art or otherwise, I reserve the right to un-resolve the market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will an American national fast food chain use lab-grown/cultured meat in a product by 2030?
71% chance
Will a hybrid cultivated and plant-based meat product be commercially available in the US by 2025?
7% chance
Will seed oils be banned in the US by 2026?
2% chance
Will cabbage exist in 2050?
94% chance
Will the record for largest cabbage be broken before 2027?
18% chance
Will Roundup be banned for agricultural food production use in the USA by 2030?
33% chance
By 2080, will a breed of dog exist that can survive solely off of cabbage?
42% chance
Which applications of CRISPR technology will achieve regulatory approval for use in humans by 2030?
Will I eat lab-grown meat by 2030?
85% chance
Will a US presidential candidate promise a national ban on cell-cultivated, lab-grown meat before 2030?
55% chance