What will be true for the 2025 F1 season?
97
3.1kṀ42k
resolved Dec 7
Resolved
YES
A driver gets permanently replaced during the season
Resolved
YES
A driver misses a race due to health reasons
Resolved
YES
McLaren wins the WCC
Resolved
YES
Isack Hadjar gets to drive a grand prix
Resolved
YES
A team principle gets replaced during the season
Resolved
YES
Liam Lawson replaced before Abu Dhabi
Resolved
YES
Isack Hadjar scores more points than Yuki Tsunoda
Resolved
YES
Norris and Piastri collide and at least one of them DNFs due to the collision
Resolved
YES
Lance Stroll drives Canada feature race
Resolved
YES
Lance Stroll drives more than half the remaining races after Barcelona
Resolved
YES
Going into the last race three drivers can win the WDC
Resolved
NO
Max Verstappen wins the WDC
Resolved
NO
Perez drives the entire season at RBR
Resolved
NO
Leclerc and Hamilton collide and at least one of them DNFs due to the collision
Resolved
NO
Paul Aron gets to drive a grand prix
Resolved
NO
Mohammed Ben Sulayem steps down as head of FIA
Resolved
NO
A driver has to sit out at least one race due to swearing
Resolved
NO
Gabriel Bortoleto scores more points than Nico Hülkenberg
Resolved
NO
The top three drivers in the WDC will be from three different teams
Resolved
NO
Max Verstappen skips at least one race related to birth of his child

  • Update 2025-11-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Creator will wait before resolving to account for potential disqualifications (DSQ) that could affect the final standings.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ1,142
2Ṁ574
3Ṁ213
4Ṁ196
5Ṁ160
Sort by:

Thank you traders for a fun season! Make sure do grade on 2026: https://manifold.markets/AlexanderTheGreater/what-will-be-true-for-the-2026-f1-s?r=QWxleGFuZGVyVGhlR3JlYXRlcg

After the season is before the season!

@AlexanderTheGreater everyone seems to have a lack of faith in a Yuki P1 at the last race.

bought Ṁ461 YES

@AlexanderTheGreater If someone after the Zandvoort race told me this, I would have never believed. But here we are. Absolute Cinema

@BlitzEver same! It's quite unbelievable

I like Lando and Oscar but between both of them having prolonged phases where they didn't do well and strategy blunders, I feel either of them would be the least deserved WDC in a long time. It's truly an incredible engineering domination carrying the entire team.

@AlexanderTheGreater That said, I think this one can resolve

@BlitzEver I'll wait a tiny bit longer in case there is a DSQ. It has happened before 😂

@AlexanderTheGreater Ops. I forgot this possibility.

@AlexanderTheGreater This can resolve. Also the RB vs RBR WCC one can resolve.

Because my excitement for F1 knows no bounds and I cannot wait to see next season's cars, I already made next seson's market: https://manifold.markets/AlexanderTheGreater/what-will-be-true-for-the-2026-f1-s?r=QWxleGFuZGVyVGhlR3JlYXRlcg

bought Ṁ500 YES

@AlexanderTheGreater After the Spain GP there were 15 GP left. Including Azerbaijan, already 8 GP have passed and Stroll raced in all of them, meaning he drove more than half.

Stroll won't participate in the Spain GP due to health reasons: source

@traders any concerns about resolving Max missing a race due to Lily's birth NO?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules