How many more US government shutdowns will there be in Trumps second term?
11
1kαΉ€1615
2029
2.1 shutdowns
expected
71%
>=1
43%
>=2
29%
>=3
15%
>=4
10%
>=5
6%
>=6

Since market creation.

  • Update 2025-11-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The first shutdown (occurring around market creation) is not counted in the total. For the market to resolve to β‰₯1, there would need to be a second shutdown during Trump's second term.

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Trump's Second Term
Gov shutdown
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Just to confirm, the first one is not counted here?

@Quroe No it's not, for >=1 to resolve YES we'd need a second.

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