Keir Starmer Resignation Month
16
225Ṁ9762028
1%
November 2025
5%
December 2025
6%
January 2026
5%
February 2026
4%
March 2026
3%
April 2026
24%
May 2026
2%
June 2026
50%
Update 2025-11-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market resolves based on when Starmer formally resigns to the King, regardless of the reason for leaving office. This includes scenarios such as:
Labour losing an election
Starmer losing a leadership challenge
Any other circumstance that results in him leaving Number 10
Update 2025-11-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve to N/A if Starmer dies while in office.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@JoshuaWilkes the only thing that has now occurred to me is if Starmer would be able to resign if he lost his seat
@JoshuaWilkes https://www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainer/prime-minister-loses-seat-general-election
Seems quite clear that he would
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