Will the FBI arrest a suspect for the January 5, 2021 DC pipe bomb incidents before January 5, 2026?
13
1kṀ9914
resolved Dec 4
Resolved
YES

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https://www.reddit.com/r/MarkMyWords/comments/1feuwpv/mmw_the_fbi_already_knows_who_the_dc_pipe_bomber/

Resolution Criteria:

  1. The market will resolve as "Yes" if:

    • The FBI or another U.S. law enforcement agency publicly announces the arrest of a suspect specifically for placing pipe bombs near the DNC and RNC headquarters on January 5, 2021

    • The arrest is made and announced before January 5, 2026

  2. The market will resolve as "No" if:

    • No arrest is made or publicly announced for the DC pipe bomb incidents by January 5, 2026

  3. The market will resolve as "Invalid" if:

    • An arrest is made, but it's later determined to be unrelated to the January 5, 2021 pipe bomb incidents

    • Legal proceedings prevent the FBI from making an arrest or public announcement by the resolution date

Resolution Sources:

  • Official FBI statements or press releases

  • Department of Justice announcements

  • Credible national news reports confirming an arrest

Closing Date:
This market will close for trading on January 5, 2026, or when the FBI announces an arrest related to the pipe bomb incidents, whichever comes first.

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@MattF Press release from US Attorney's Office in DC about arrest: https://www.justice.gov/usao-dc/pr/man-charged-planting-explosive-devices-outside-rnc-and-dnc-january-5-2021. Is this enough to resolve?

@SolarFlare According to the report it took piecing together evidence rather than an intentional delay, and it isn't Marjorie Taylor Green like the reddit comments were insinuating. None the less, this does indeed resolve Yes!

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