The Game Awards 2025 Prop Bets [Add Answers!]
92%
More than 35% questions here will resolve to YES! or True! or Correct! (including preresolved)
89%
The show is better than average (judged by Manifold poll)
5%
Jonathan Blow mentioned
2%
Disputed resolution on any TGA-related Polymarket market
Resolved
YES
Appearance by an A-list actor (A-list status judged by Claude)
Resolved
YES
Someone uses a Japanese honorific while speaking English
Resolved
YES
Someone says "fuck" or derivatives
Resolved
YES
A new Nintendo Switch or Nintendo Switch 2 exclusive game is announced
Resolved
YES
Someone says "AI", "artificial intelligence", or "ChatGPT"
Resolved
YES
Expedition 33 wins 3+ awards
Resolved
YES
Expedition 33 wins 6+ awards
Resolved
YES
A Nintendo game wins Best Family Game
Resolved
YES
A Nintendo (NCL) or Nintendo of America employee appears in-person
Resolved
YES
A Muppet insults Geoff
Resolved
YES
Anyone speaks a full sentence in French
Resolved
YES
Anyone speaks a full sentence in Japanese
Resolved
YES
Bloodborne is mentioned at all whatsoever
Resolved
YES
3 or more awards announced in the span of 1 minute
Resolved
YES
7 or more parts of Marnix's 9-way Game Awards Parlay occur
Resolved
YES
Game Changer award returns

https://thegameawards.com/

Refers to the main Dec 11 show

  • Update 2025-11-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Fudge" does not count as a derivative of "fuck" for resolution purposes.

  • Update 2025-12-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The toxic commandos ad saying "fuck that" counts for resolution of answers related to the word "fuck" being said during the show.

  • Update 2025-12-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "More than 35% questions here will resolve to YES! or True! or Correct! (including preresolved)", the total count will be 62 answers (not 63), as this answer cannot rely on its own resolution for the calculation.

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I was blocked by all the scammer accounts at the same time. This shows that they are all the same person using AI or google translate for every post. It has been obvious from the start.

All TGA markets on Polymarket seem resolves and not disputed to me, will resolve shortly unless I missed something

If someone curious how with 1000 mana in 1 month get 10000, here is a poll https://manifold.markets/24norwayElimSolberg/how-to-5-your-mana-in-1-month?

@Robincvgr why?

The poll is honestly showed the YES.

Please judge carefully

please get this guy @yako out ๐Ÿ˜ญ ๐Ÿ˜ญ ๐Ÿ˜ญ stop ragebaiting

@Robincvgr why?

The poll is honestly showed the 3 to 1 - clear, but you was jealous for others, you are attacking people, you got financial loss, but now won by n/a - that's not fair

@yako STOP. RAGEBAITING. now.

@Robincvgr why you don't ban @121 instead of giving him incentives?

He misbehaved and got from you want he not honestly demanded


?

@yako Ban me? no no no. You are the one getting banned.

Also, @Robincvgr is not a moderator.

Furthermore, have you ever seen 2 accounts from the new nov 24 accounts online at the same time? No. It means it is all the same person.

You are still rage-baiting. I shall cease communication.

@Robincvgr Why are we following the demands of a user @121 with a -29,000 balance loss (he is jelious) who is known for aggressive conversations, abuses and bad-faith arguments? r

esolving this as 'N/A' effectively rewards his attempt to manipulate the market.

I would like to understand your logic here.

Bro logged in to alt account ๐Ÿ˜† ๐Ÿ˜†

@Robincvgr whats going here? I got refunded

sold แน€242 YES
Comment hidden

@1bets u stupid i have -76000 profit 0 iq what u mean -29000

as they all say

But there's one thing you didn't account for. My numbers... are bigger than yours.

@mods ban the bourgeosie clankers. @1bets @breadexpert

They changed the poll close date!!!

They falsely accuse I bully """newbies""" who are abusing polls!!! They resolved it early!

I can not believe I am getting rage-baited right now.

Resolve "manifolders will vote :YES. Wonderful: in the (TV Do you like idea) poll - 3 times more than other options combined" N/A

As

  1. Not fair at all, all alts.

  2. Did not say more than 3 times or at least 3 times, vote is 15-5.

@mods just so you know I am not doing this for personal profit. I have 5000 no shares for 800 mana, it would be nice if it resolved N/A because I am a honest manifolder and not a bourgeoisie CLANKER. Ban these 2 for harrasment.

@121 Now you are projecting your own behavior onto others. I don't understand: do you genuinely want to cause trouble here, or are you just angry at someone else and taking it out on us? What is wrong with you?

It is not good to call people names, and it is definitely not cool to manufacture drama just to start fights.

I created this market referring to Bread's poll ('(TV Do you like idea') with good intentions: I genuinely liked the idea thatbecame popular in the Awards 2025 TV show chat. That poll was posted right at the beginning of the event (around message #3 or #4), so it captured a significant number of voters actively using the feature in real-time.

The results are decisive: 'YES. Wonderful' received 3 times more votes than all other options combined. Even with your 2-3 about negative votes, it is still exactly 3 times higher, literally matching the description perfectly.

I hate clankers. They are all bourgeosie mods please ban them. I am not hate speech, all I said was the poll is rigged and "Do not vote "Yes wonderful" for free mana!" Everyone who bets yes= bourgeosie

@121 I'm not rich at all, absolutely not -please stop. I believe , it is not in the spirit of Manifold to personally attack users.

'Bourgeoisie' refers to the class that inherited or owns the means of production in a capitalist society, which definitely does not describe me.

@1bets 17000 in a few days... Very suspicious. Even the top masters league people can not do that.

You are a scammer. Stop making bad grammar posts written by AI.

All your alts combined have at least 100,000 mana scammed.

@mods I suggest immediate action against the accounts created on Nov 24 2025 if you know what you mean.

This is not cyberbullying and abusing the system is not in the spirit of Manifold. I am merely telling the truth.

@121 as you acknowledged elsewhere, you're getting rage-baited (whether they're doing it intentionally or not). You've tagged mods. It may take some time for one to pop in. I suggest it would be more enjoyable for you to do something other than Manifold for a few hours. When you come back, you'll probably be more on-balance and better able to express your position :)

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