Was at 53'556 when I checked yesterday.

the colors are so prettyyyy

May may resolve to 41%, I think. 😁

@4fa

April can resolve to 38%, I think. 😊

@4fa yep you're right 👍

Nice new username btw

@TheAllMemeingEye Thanks!

JK, I came up with it today or yesterday. 😂

@4fa plot twist, it's actually referring to the Japanese rice wine owned by someone called Fold

@TheAllMemeingEye Ah! Fōrudo no sake no tame ni!

@4fa はは、いた るくす らいく わん あふ うす なうす で わだす ぶた のた で らいちん しすてむ、あぬだ で うふぁ なうす で らいちん しすてむ ぶた のた で わだす ^^

[haha, ita rukusu raiku wan afu usu nausu de wadasu buta nota de raichin shisutemu, anuda de ufua nausu de raichin shisutemu buta nota de wadasu :) ]

@TheAllMemeingEye Ai yūsudo Gūguru Toransurēto. 😁 I also know more kana than words, probably. 😅

@TheAllMemeingEye i think your translation bot isn't working well

@fast that bot would be my brain lol, it's english transcribed with the closest hiragana phonemes, not actual japanese

In regular english:

"haha, it looks like one of us knows the words but not the writing system, and the other knows the writing system but not the words :) "

@fast pasting it into google translate does produce amusing gibberish, I'll admit

@TheAllMemeingEye 🐷

@4fa

gpt-4o has spontaneously decided to make pig-achu lmao

It has occurred to me that the mostly linear profit growth and small liquidity split among many options may be significantly reducing the appeal of this market, for which I apologise

@TheAllMemeingEye My frequent betting might have made it less interesting for others as well. 🤔

@TheAllMemeingEye I guess making numeric markets for individual months and/or date markets for individual milestones might indeed be more appealing.

@4fa possibly, I may try that at some point

@TheAllMemeingEye Your profit is impressively consistent. Have you thought about making more aggressive bets?

@TimothyJohnson5c16 thanks haha, I take pride in my profit graph being as smooth as my brain 🧠

Am I out of touch with reality and limiting my growth by never betting more than a few tens of mana per bet (unless I have total certainty, or at the very least something more logically grounded than an intuitive hunch, which I rarely do due to my extremely limited knowledge), because I'm compulsively sticking to the heuristic of "never bet more than you're willing to lose" (due to fear of developing a life ruining gambling addiction), while failing to increase risk tolerance with increasing balance as I probably should, possibly out of habitual momentum? No, it's the other users who are wrong, for not posting enough markets in the handful of areas where I have any relevant knowledge /s

In all seriousness, yeah I probably should try to fix my mentality, but so far I have been mentally stuck in this trap

@TheAllMemeingEye Lol, it's not my place to tell you how to bet. Do whatever makes you happy! 😊

It is more entertaining to watch someone throw mana around like Tumbles, but overall the world would probably be better off with fewer agents of chaos, especially recently...

@TheAllMemeingEye I guess March resolves to 35%, right? 😁

@4fa I think technically it rounds closer to 36% but pretty much, thanks :)

@TheAllMemeingEye Oh, right, I must have misread – or it changed that much in the last twenty minutes. :-D