Will Open AI release a model that can reliably compute a 20 digits multiplication correctly in 2025?
7
100Ṁ367
Jan 1
7%
chance

  • The model must correctly compute the product of two randomly chosen 20-digit numbers with at least 90% accuracy, meaning it may produce incorrect results in at most 10 out of 100 independent trials.

  • The model must perform this computation without executing code, scripts, or relying on external computational tools.

  • A YES resolution will occur immediately upon verification that a model meets these criteria. If no such model is verified by the end of the year, the resolution will be NO.

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@creator thoughts on this? https://chatgpt.com/share/693b0ec2-b9d0-8000-8d38-e221cdea2b60

Your market terms aren't perfectly clear to me, sorry.

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