Will GPT-5.2 reach 1500 on LMArena (no style-control) | Manifold

Will GPT-5.2 reach 1500 on LMArena (no style-control)

8

100Ṁ385

2026

9%

chance

7

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

resolve based on this:

https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

Will use the first GPT-5.2 to enter the leaderboard's debut score

Update 2025-12-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If multiple versions of GPT-5.2 appear on the leaderboard (e.g., gpt-5.2 and gpt-5.2-high), the market will resolve based on the higher scoring version.

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bought Ṁ100 NO

“the first GPT-5.2 to enter the leaderboard's debut score“

There’s likely multiple versions

Will this resolve based on gpt-5.2-high or gpt-5.2?

@ChinmayTheMathGuy the higher one

bought Ṁ50 YES

ez trade ?

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