In prior years, Time has released shortlists of individuals, groups, ideas, or objects that were in the running for that year's Time Person of the Year award. This question is only asking about individual human beings who appear on the 2025 shortlist by name.
To view prior year shortlists, follow this link, look under the "Runners-up" column, and click on [show]:
Wikipedia - Time Person of the Year, Person(s) of the Year
All options that appear on the shortlist will resolve YES as soon as possible after the shortlist is published.
If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve NO. The last two years when Time did not release a shortlist were in 2021 and 2005.
When adding names, please use a formal style to match. Timely good faith edits to new options are permitted. Users who add options that ultimately resolve YES will receive a prize of no less than Ṁ100.
The market creator shall not trade on this question so long as that user has the ability to resolve it.
Update 2025-10-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Winning Person of the Year does NOT automatically count as being on the shortlist. Only individuals explicitly named on the published shortlist will resolve YES.
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@121 “A formal "shortlist" of finalists was not publicly released for the 2025 award, unlike in some previous years.”
@jks i'm opposed, that's unnecessarily locking ppl's mana for another 2 weeks. @FecalAbhuman are you aware of any case historically where this happened? Wikipedia says "Time did not release a shortlist for 2025." I'd say just resolve NO now
@FecalAbhuman polymarket had a similar market and they are much sharper than manifold most of the time and some ppl copied their price onto manifold
@NzJack0n right yeah I think if there were a shortlist he would be on it, just don't think there will be a shortlist
@ItsMe not that I know of. I think it was expected to be released by now. I noticed Polymarket has the rule if no shortlist, everything resolves no. And Pope Leo went from 90% to 60% to be on shortlist today,