Will US unemployment get above 6% in 2026?
6
100แน2412026
18%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve based on official US Data. If that is not available will use whatever experts think is the next most reliable thing.
Update 2025-12-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve YES if the unemployment rate crosses above 6% at any point during 2026 (not based on the average for the year).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
US unemployment above 5% in 2025?
4% chance
Will Unemployment in the US Reach 6.5% in 2025?
3% chance
Will there be >15% unemployment at any time prior to January 1st 2026?
1% chance
Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?
14% chance
Will Unemployment in the US Reach 5.5% in 2025?
5% chance
If the US unemployment reaches 20% will it reach 80% within 2 years? (AI take-off)
11% chance
Will US unemployment be 25% or more before 2030?
12% chance
Will US unemployment be 20% or more before 2030?
15% chance
Will US unemployment be 10% or more before 2030?
27% chance
๐ US unemployment above 4.5% before 2029?
84% chance