Market Description
This market is a ranking competition in which human (who is alive as of Dec 14, 2025) are evaluated across three traits: Physical Strength, Intelligence, and Wealth.
Scoring System
For each trait, I will select 5-10 human with best winning chance to rank.
Ranks 1 through 10 will earn 10, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1 points respectively.
An option’s overall score is the sum of the points it receives across all three trait rankings.
The option with the highest overall score will be declared the winner of this market.
While personal preference and subjective judgment cannot be eliminated entirely, I will make a good-faith effort to answer questions and explain how I evaluate each trait and determine relative rankings.
I anticipate that cross intelligence comparison would be particularly subjective, if you ask me in the comments early on I will try my best to provide my answer to, for example, whether a specific chess world champion, fields medal winner, inventor, or hedge fund manager is considered more intelligent than the other option in my opinion.
Eligible Options
At a randomized closing time (to be announced), I will select the 5-10 options that I believe have the strongest prospects of winning.
Only these 5-10 options will be considered for all trait rankings and overall scoring.
I will make an announcement at least 2 days before the randomize closing period is set.
Market Resolution
The market will resolve based on the option that finishes with the highest overall score under the scoring system described above.
Notes:
If it is debatable whether certain human exist or is alive or not, I reserve the right to disqualify such option.
1,000People are also trading
@MachiNi why does that reduce his likelihood to be judged the best living human? doesnt that demonstrate physical strength which many of the other candidates lack?
@MaxE @Magnify I don’t intend to suggest that having a lot of wealth makes someone a better human. Wealth just happens to be something most people desire and is relatively easy to quantify. I considered using likeability/popularity as the third measure, but I decided not to because those traits depend heavily on who is evaluating them.
@AmmonLam does not wealth also depend heavily on who is evaluating it? you could say networth, satisfaction with life, mana owned (cough cough ammon lam option)
@AmmonLam if your ranking implies that e.g. Musk or Zuckerberg are better humans than (e.g.) the late Jane Goodall maybe your ranking is worthless?
@MachiNi this market is not meant to be a ranking to truly evaluate the greatness of the individuals. Afterall, greatness can be measured by many other qualities that my three qualities doesn’t cover.
The ranking only serves the purpose for the resolution of this market